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We're on to the American League West in our 2022 MLB standings predictions. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the team's vaunted pitching staff to allow . "Ok . We're using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. But we're making a call to the bullpen and asking five MLB.com writers to give it their best shot. Across the division, the Twins had a perplexing winter. The amount of money the Mets have dished out is absurd. Unfortunately, the Jacob deGrom injury is a massive blow. The moves made this offseason ensure this team will be competitive, maybe even enough to play in October under a 14-team playoff format. And yet, they won 90 games last season and I'm going under 84.5 this year. The top of the MLB power rankings remains steady and it's likely to stay that way. The reason the model likes the Cardinals over Milwaukee comes from the lack of trust in the Brewers' lineup, but if Willy Adames can repeat and Christian Yelich can bounce back somewhere closer to his 2019 levels, it could have just enough to support Milwaukee's tremendous pitching staff. by Retrosheet. I don't know why, though. The Cardinals pitching may be a question mark, but the club has an excellent defense and good roster depth, not to mention a lineup featuring reigning NL MVP Paul Goldschmidt at first base, perennial All-Star Nolan Arenado at third and new addition Willson Contreras at catcher. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. Milwaukee finished with a DEF of 56, which was eight more runs than the next best team. Last Year's Record: 91-71 Over/Under: 92.5 The Blue Jays were just one game shy of making the postseason last year in a division that featured four teams winning more than 90 games. With just days to go until Opening Day, hope is high among all teams that this will be their year to win a World Series or at least have an enjoyable 162-game season. I do think this team is better and on the right track, but I don't think they'll have the kind of "luck" they did last season, say, in one-run games. One of the more remarkable tidbits about last season was the Dodgers' total being 103.5, them hitting the over with room to spare and still not winning the NL West. We just saw that I like the Blue Jays for around 95 wins. While the MLB season is still a few months away, there has been plenty of excitement to what the new campaign could bring. The White Sox and Astros were picked to reach the top two spots in the American League more than any other team, while the top four AL East teams were the most likely in the simulations to also reach the playoffs. But just who will it be that claims the Commissioner's Trophy at the end of the year? Watch out, Milwaukee is a darkhorse World Series threat. From there, the model simulates the postseason based on the outcomes of the regular season to decide who will win the World Series. The 2020 World Series champions have +600 odds to lift the Commissioner's Trophy in 2022, while the Pirates, Orioles and Arizona Diamondbacks are tied for the lowest at +25000. CLE Cleveland Guardians. USA TODAY. Thats enough to push them ahead of New York in our MLB predictions. Design and development by Jay Boice. The NL Central has not had a team repeat as division winner since the Cubs repeated in first place in 2016 and 2017. Pollock is a net win, given Chicagos needs, but the Garrett Crochet injury (Tommy John surgery) is a huge blow. LAA Los Angeles Angels. Edwin Diaz was a dominant closer in 2021, and figures again to be among the best relievers in 2022. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. Plus, in the NL West, the Dodgers are awesome and the Giants are coming off a 107-win season. The breakout season by the Giants mixed up the run of Dodgers' dominance, but the model expects Los Angeles to reclaim its crown in 2022. Just looking around the NL West, there are two bad teams. MLB predictions 2022: Final standings, playoff projections, World Series odds for every team, Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman, Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues, Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse, Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat, Cody Bellinger is struggling again, but Dodgers are so good that it might not matter. Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff. The Orioleshope to see top prospect Adley Rutschman soon (but not too soon) and are going to lose 100 games again but have players worth watching inCedric Mullins andRyan Mountcastle. Adam Wainwright was ridiculous down the stretch last season and it's hard to bet against him, but he's also 40 years old. With the signing of Max Scherzer and the acquisition of Bassitt, the Mets' 1-2-3 punch, when healthy, is now deGrom, Scherzer and Bassitt, and that's before getting to Taijuan Walker and Carlos Carrasco. Eric Lauer and Adrian Houser help round out a rotation that has a case for the MLB's best, in front of a bullpen that has some star power with Josh Hader and Devin Williams. So does former wunderkind Alex Reyes. The Rockies don't figure to be in the mix for the playoffs in 2022, but that lineup could be fun to watch. With Shane Baz, Yonny Chirinos and Tyler Glasnow out from possible rotation spots in addition to relievers Nick Anderson and Pete Fairbanks, that's a lot of slack that needs picking up. Were using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. The bottom line is the recent history of teams that ducked and dodged their way past unseemly run differentials to post winning records isn't rosy in the ensuing season. As of now, this is the best team in the AL East. C'mon Rocks! Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. Cactus League. Acquiring Sonny Gray improves the rotation, but it could still use a front-line starter. Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. That's because Major League Baseball is on a run of 100-win teams. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22 offseason featured a 99-day lockout that . Minnesota traded Josh Donaldson and others to free up room to sign prized free-agent shortstop Carlos Correa. The front end of the rotation offers some star arms in Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Sale and Tanner Houck, who can match up with many of the best in the AL. PECOTA has the Halos four games ahead of the Mariners and gives them a 54.9% chance of reaching the postseason, the seventh-highest odds in the AL. MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING . Spring Training is in full swing, free agency is off the rails, and baseball is officially back. 2022-23 English Premier League Arsenal vs. Bournemouth odds, picks: Predictions and best bets for Saturday's match from proven soccer expert . Seattle strengthened its young core of Jarred Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez by trading for Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez from Cincinnati and signing reigning Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. Jesse Yomtov. The Seattle Mariners will win the AL West, just not this year. The Diamondbacksfinished tied with Baltimore for the worst record in baseball in 2021, but like the Orioles, they are starting to see the future of the franchise. We know there are moving parts and differences every single season and the Blue Jays have to replace the career year from Marcus Semien. Is the NL West a two- or three-team race? 1. The model is also high on the pitching of the Giants, giving San Francisco a major edge going into the postseason even as a wild-card team. Related: Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! Major League Baseball's 2022 season has arrived. Although Jos Abreu left as a free agent to sign with the Astros in the offseason, the core of the roster that won the division title two years ago is still largely intact, making Chicago an obvious rebound candidate in 2023. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is . For now, well keep the Yankees in the No. As for the Cubs, neither system likes their postseason chances despite the signings of Swanson, Cody Bellinger, Jameson Taillon, Trey Mancini and Eric Hosmer. Considering the Cincinnati Reds are shopping their starting pitchers and trimming payroll, they belong in the ignore tier for the 2022 season. The model really likes the rotation with Steven Matz joining Adam Wainwright and Jack Flaherty, who could miss some time with a shoulder injury. Toronto Blue Jays. Pair that with a strong bullpen and a productive lineup. Even if they are the only one this time around, I like the Dodgers to keep MLB's 100-win streak going. Major League Leaders . The rotation is still thin and the bullpen is a mess, so they will fall short of being swept in the 2022 MLB postseason. The system also thinks theres still a gulf between the Dodgers and Padres, projecting Los Angeles for 96.1 wins and the Padres for 92.6. filling out their roster with solid role players. It's always possible Aaron Nola gets back to ace level and Ranger Surez has all kinds of talent, possibly giving the Phillies a Big Three. It bucks conventional wisdom, sure, but there are a few factors I can't ignore. 2 starter acquired before being more optimistic with our MLB predictions. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. (Get latest betting odds) Manchester City and Newcastle United face . Toronto hasnt won a playoff game since 2016. The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. The odds of winning the pennant tell the story of just how locked down the field sees the 2022 playoff picture. MLB insider Bob Nightengale examines if the fans will forgive league for ugly offseason. Pittsburgh is waiting for the Mitch Keller breakout to happen this spring, he's shown glimpses that it could be on the way as the rotation starts to weave in younger arms like Bryse Wilson and Roansy Contreras. But after Los Angeles lost a number of key players and steered clear of this offseasons free-agent bonanza, the clubs grip on the division could be loosening. Despite employing Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, the Halos missed the playoffs for the eighth straight season in 2022. Customized picks for NFL and college football pickem contests (weekly and season long). Luis Robert is a darkhorse MVP candidate, Jose Abreu is consistent and there is even more All-Star talent (Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal, Tim Anderson). The Padres are absolutely a fringe playoff contender in the NL, but I'm not seeing them on the cusp of 90 wins. Close. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is nearly upon us. The results, Marcus Stroman being replaced by Max Scherzer and holes in the lineup being filled by Starling Marte, Mark Canha and Eduardo Escobar. After all, the Friars signed Xander Bogaerts, will be getting back Fernando Tatis Jr. from injury/suspension and will benefit from having Juan Soto and Josh Hader for a full season after acquiring both at the 2022 Trade Deadline. Paired with the expanded 12-team playoff field and the opportunities afforded by the universal designated hitter, more clubs were active in March than expected, setting up some interesting postseason races for the new season. Trevor Rogers nearly won Rookie of the Year, and Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez each had ERAs south of 3.20. It's hard to see that changing in 2022 with a new crop of players in the AL Central. They are picked as a slight favorite to win the Commissioner's Trophy, just edging out the Blue Jays. But more than anything, the model is high on the pitching, with Gerrit Cole, Jameson Taillon, Jordan Montgomery and a healthy Luis Severino leading the team in 2022. We saw the Houston Astros add another division title to their collection last season despite the surprise surge from the Seattle Mariners. After missing the playoffs by one game last season, 2022 could end up as the perfect year for the Jays to represent the AL in the World Series. The tip-off is set for 7:30 pm ET at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. The Marinerswere the feel-good story of 2021, when out of nowhere, they rose up to post a 90-win season and nearly reach the postseason. The Blue Jays have constructed one of the most talented rosters in the AL, combining impressive young players such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Alejandro Kirk and Alek Manoah with veteran stars such as George Springer, Kevin Gausman and Matt Chapman, but the club has yet to break through as an AL powerhouse. This year, no one will sleep on the Mariners. It was only the Cubs in 2016 and Cardinals in 2015, but the point stands. ET (ESPN). The GB column is an abbreviation for Games Back and it shows how far teams are behind the leader of the division or put simply, first place. Newcastle United vs Manchester City. There were three last season. The Duke Blue Devils (22-8, 13-6 ACC) finish the season against the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11, 11-8) Saturday in Chapel Hill. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. The model indicates that in a World Series against the NL, which is loaded with teams that boast top-line pitching staffs, Tampa Bay's staff is more likely to hold up in a series.