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Explore what the world thinks, discover our solutions, and join our community to share your opinion. Gender Recognition Act, Tags: Gender Recognition Act, Gender Recognition Reform, Panelbase, poll, survey. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?". That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote . A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. Question asked. All Rights Reserved. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. . A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. They do not factor in the potential for further additional regional or constituency centric swings. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". YouGov | What the world thinks The previous YouGov covered the 23rd - 26th of January. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). Britain Elects. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. Published Polls - Savanta - ComRes Latest Westminster voting intention (14-15 Feb)Con: 22% (-2 from 8-9 Feb)Lab: 50% (+3)Lib Dem: 9% (-1)Reform UK: 7% (+1)Green: 6% (=)SNP: 4% (=)https://t.co/WMc2U2wZbs pic.twitter.com/NZ9QZygUG7. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. UK's Labour has 33-pt lead over ruling Conservatives -YouGov poll Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. Those SNP MPs to lose their seats would include Amy Callaghan in East Dunbartonshire (to the Lib Dems) and Richard Thomson in Gordon (to the Tories). Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. Latest YouGov poll suggests many voters in Scotland have dismissed warnings about the economic impacts of a yes vote YouGov's opinion poll for the Sunday Times suggests the yes. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? Polling for the Welsh parliament election is less extensive than what is available in Scotland. Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023 and it will rise to 14% by 2024. Question asked is stated in notes field. 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Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' what number would you consider yourself to be?". It was one of the biggest news stories of our. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. Ron DeSantis now leads former President Donald Trump by 5 percentage points in the race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination. Prince Harry's U.K. Popularity Down 35 Points Since Meghan WeddingPolling The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. In all polls the dont knows are removed. However as the Scottish parliament became fully operational in Edinburgh, support for independence initially waned, trending around 30% in the first decade of the twentieth century. Former Sun boss and arch right-winger Kelvin MacKenzie also seemed to reach the same conclusion. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. All rights reserved. The poll, commissioned by WalesOnline has found support for the Tories in Wales now sits at just 19%. The headline data used in calculating these averages has been drawn from that laid out in the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Opinium, Survation, SavantaComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Techne, Delta Poll,and Ipsos Mori. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. Polling changes expose a chink in the Conservatives' electoral armour At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit". Scottish Opinion Polls - Electoral Calculus In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. 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More Scots are seeing the reality of SNP rule. The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. Scottish election polls and latest odds - who will win in 2021? We will not share your email address with any third parties. The pollster found. Automotive. In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the next UK General Election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. NewsNow: YouGov news | Breaking News & Search 24/7 The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. Poll: DeSantis surges to 5-point lead over weakened Trump in 2024 Read more, Editorial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected], Commercial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected]. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Boost for Scottish independence as new poll puts Yes up four points Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. Labour still lead in latest YouGov poll, but gap with Tories narrows to A Y At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. ", Data in More than 5 years is amalgamation of 5 to 10 years and more than 10 years, Question asked was "Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year? Speaking on BBC Scotland's Good Morning Scotland programme, Nicola Sturgeon said her aim at May's Holyrood election was winning a . In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. Rishi Sunak's poll bounce shows that he's still the Tories' best hope ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. In the 2016 independence referendum, some 44.7% of Scottish voters backed Scotland becoming an independent country. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023, and it will rise to 14% by 2024. The rank outsider to become First Minister has only received the public backing of one serving politician, Joanna Cherry, amid struggles to get her campaign going. Sorry, no headlines or news topics were found. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. Latest general election voting intention opinion polls - Mark Pack Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. NewsNow: Opinion polls news | Every Source, Every Five Minutes, 24/7 news YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. Opinion Polling Sees Households Downbeat On Economy In Coming Months Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. The Conservatives meanwhile have dropped to 21% of current vote intention, down seven points. Rishi Sunak fails to win back Conservative support in Wales, poll A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. Scottish independence poll: do people in Scotland want to be Much of the YouGov poll's Labour lead was buoyed by 17% of people who had previously voted for Boris Johnson saying they would now vote for Labour - double that of a week ago. A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. Back to 1970s., BlackRock Throgmorton Trust Impressive run continues, Police arrest fugitive suspected of stabbing mother and daughter to death, EU workers contribute 2,300 more in taxes than the average Brit, EuroMillions Results for Friday 24 June 2022 Tonights winning numbers, Domestic abuse calls up 25% in coronavirus lockdown charity, International press document Britains Brexit bregret, World War II paratrooper says Brexit is breaking his heart on his 100th birthday. Dates. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. An existing account was found for this email address. [1] Following that judgment, the SNP reiterated its intention to campaign in the next UK general election as a de facto independence referendum. Please click 'Sign in and Subscribe' to continue. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunak's party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. The figures show the Conservatives on 25% of the vote (+1 from our previous survey on 1-2 November) to Labour's 48% (-2). Topic . Stay informed. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted following Kwasi Kwarteng's 'mini-Budget'shows the Tories have taken a severe hit following the poor reception to the Growth Plan. ", Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" Two new polls suggest near-wipeout for the SNP as Labour's Scottish Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. Changes are shown as (vs that poll / vs last election). With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. We don't have an account for this email address. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox. Indeed between October 2020 and January 2021, the two major parties were running neck and neck. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Easy-to-digest video clips. In the case of Wales, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the most recent YouGov poll produced on 27 February. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote, and from 40 per cent to 36 per cent in the regional vote and from 43 per cent to 42 per cent for Westminster. Between January 2015 and December 2022 over 230 polls have been published and recorded in the main table. Voting Intention: Con 25%, Lab 48% (9-10 Nov 2022) | YouGov Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . Combining deep sector expertise with local knowledge to provide you with a deep understanding of your industry. The historic oil recipe is based on what was used at the coronation of Queen Elizabeth II, the formula of which has been used for hundreds of years. The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) - this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided. We are sorry, but the email address you entered does not appear to be valid. Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Charles and Camilla break silence after Frogxit fall out with business-as-usual engagements, The Palace has not yet commented on the move to remove Prince Harry and Meghan from Frogmore - instead sending out a release about forthcoming official engagements, No prominent backers appear for Ash Regan despite claims endorsements would arrive this week. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. Boris Johnson Goads Rishi Sunak Over Poor Tory Poll Ratings Pollster. Those who are likely voters, don't know, or wouldn't vote are excluded. Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . Something went wrong, please try again later. Exclusive: Scottish Labour blasted the Scottish Government for their inaction in trying to get rid of dangerous Grenfell-styling cladding on buildings across the country. The latest survey from YouGov has put Labour on 46% and the . Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. 4th October 2022| YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit. Early 2021. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! In February 2023, 47 percent of British adults would vote for the Labour Party in a . The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic. Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. Six reasons Labour might not win the next election alone, Urban Flight A real threat to many formerly safe seats in the Blue Wall. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeon's approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October.